JOLTS tháng 7/2025: Tín hiệu quan trọng cho thị trường lao động và chính sách Fed

A Report That Could Shape America's Economic Future

From the perspective of a trader who has monitored many important economic reports, I see JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) for July 2025, being released on September 3, 2025, as one of the most noteworthy reports during this period. When a report can directly influence Fed policy decisions, it means it will have strong impacts on all financial markets.

Looking back at my journey from losing $1000 in forex, I learned that deeply understanding economic data not only helps predict market movements but also helps recognize fundamental changes in the economy. Al Brooks once taught me about the importance of context, and JOLTS is exactly an important part of the overall picture of US economic health.

Analysis of Expected Job Openings

The expected slight decrease in job openings from 7.437 million to around 7.4 million in July is a noteworthy signal. Bob Volman once taught me that small changes in data often reflect larger trends taking place.

The slowdown in hiring demand may show that businesses are becoming more cautious about expanding their workforce. This could be a sign of slowing economic growth or uncertainty about near-term business prospects.

Quit Rate - Measuring Worker Confidence

Experience monitoring market psychology helps me understand that the quit rate is one of the most subtle indicators of worker sentiment. When people are confident about finding better jobs, they're willing to quit their current positions. Conversely, when the labor market tightens, this rate will decrease.

Luna, my ragdoll cat, tends to change resting spots when feeling comfortable and secure. This is similar to worker behavior - they only "job hop" when feeling confident about market opportunities.

Fed and Monetary Policy Decisions